Demographia

Florida Presidential Election Recount Projection

Florida County Recount Results by Change in Vote (001109)
Florida Recount Results by County (001109)

Later updates to be provided, based upon availability of information

All Counties Reporting:
07:30 EST 2000/11/10

  Change in Bush Votes Final Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count    
Present Margin    
Change    
Overall Rate Recount Change (1,457) 327
Number of Counties Recounted   67
Percentage of Vote Recounted   100.0%

20:15 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,784  
Present Margin   229  
Change   -1555  
Overall Rate Recount Change (1,555) (1,592) 192
Number of Counties Recounted     66
Percentage of Vote Recounted     97.7%

19:25 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,784  
Present Margin   225  
Change   -1559  
Overall Rate Recount Change (1,559) (1,626) 158
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County (916) (1,599) 185
Number of Counties Recounted     65
Percentage of Vote Recounted     95.9%

17:50 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,784  
Present Margin   362  
Change   -1422  
Overall Rate Recount Change -1422 (1,529) 255
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -779 (1,481) 303
Number of Counties Recounted     64
Projection based upon 63 county rate (latest available list)    

16:45 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,784  
Present Margin   359  
Change   -1425  
Overall Rate Recount Change -1425 (1,550) 234
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -782 (1,494) 290
Number of Counties Recounted     63
Projection based upon 62 county rate (latest available list)    

16:20 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,785  
Present Margin   405  
Change   -1380  
Overall Rate Recount Change -1380 (1,567) 218
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -737 (1,480) 305
Number of Counties Recounted     61
Projection based upon 61 county rate (latest available list)    

16:15 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,785  
Present Margin   1,054  
Change   -731  
Overall Rate Recount Change -731 (939) 846
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -88 (756) 1,029
Number of Counties Recounted     60
Projection based upon 56 county rate (latest available list)    

14:45 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count   1,785  
Present Margin   931  
Change   -854  
Overall Rate Recount Change -854 (1,152) 633
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -211 (928) 857
Number of Counties Recounted     57
Projection based upon 52 county rate (latest available list)    

13:00 EST

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count     1,785
Present Margin     793
Change     (992)
Overall Rate Recount Change -992 (1,434) 351
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -349 (1,207) 578
Number of Counties Recounted     46

12;10 EST

At current rate of change in vote (based upon change in recounted votes per million), Bush would lead by 416. Most of the recount difference is in Palm Beach County (nearly 75 percent of the difference). If the rate for the other counties is used, Bush would have a 774 margin.

  Change in Bush Votes Projected Change Projected Bush Margin
Bush Margin in Original Count     1,785
32 County Rate Recount Change -843 (1,369) 416
Change at Rate Outside Palm Beach County -200 (1,011) 774

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